US stocks whipsawed overnight, falling after the Bank of Japan announced it would widen its yield target range and on fears about weaker global economic growth as banks raise interest rates to cool inflation.
Markets are sliding after the US Federal Reserve raised its key lending rate last week and the European Central Bank said more rate hikes are ahead. That fueled investor fears central bankers might be willing to cause a recession to fight inflation that is at multi-decade highs.
“The tone in markets reflects a cloudy outlook for the global economy,” Anderson Alves of ActivTrades said in a report.
On Wall Street, the future for the benchmark S&P 500 index was off 0.6%. That for the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.4%.
On Monday, the S&P 500 fell 0.9% for its fifth daily decline as communications services stocks, technology companies and retailers retired. The index is sliding after the Fed said last week that rates might have to stay elevated longer than previously forecast. It is down about 20% this year with less than two weeks left in 2022.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite lost 1.5%. The Fed raised its short-term lending rate last week by one-half percentage point in its seventh increase this year.
That dashed investor hopes the US central bank might ease off rate hike plans due to data showing economic activity cooling. The federal funds rate stands at a 15-year high of 4.25% to 4.5%. The Fed forecast that it will reach a range of 5% to 5.25% by the end of 2023.
The forecast doesn’t call for a cut before 2024. Investors were looking ahead to US economic reports this week for an update on the path of inflation. It has declined from its 9.1% high in June but still stood at 7.1% in November.
The National Association of Realtors reports November home sales on Wednesday. Also Wednesday, the Conference Board releases its consumer confidence report for December.
On Friday, the US government will report November consumer spending. The report is watched by the Fed as a barometer of inflation.
In Asia, the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo tumbled 2.5% to 26,568.03 after Japan’s central bank, which has avoided joining the Fed and other central banks in raising rates, widened the range in which government bond yields will be allowed to fluctuate. That will allow market interest rates to edge higher.
The Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.1% to 3,073.76 after the World Bank cut its forecast of China’s economic growth this year to 2.7% from its June outlook of 4.3%. The bank cited repeated shutdowns of major cities to fight COVID-19 outbreaks.
The Hang Seng in Hong Kong sank 1.3% to 19,094.80 and the Kospi in Seoul lost 0.8% to 2,333.29. Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200 fell 1.5% to 7,024.03 while India’s Sensex gained 0.8% to 61,806.19. New Zealand and Southeast Asian markets retired.
In early trading, the FTSE in London fell 0.7% to 7,311.82. The DAX in Frankfurt lost 0.9% to 13,812.03 and the CAC 40 in Paris tumbled 1.1% to 6,403.95.